Guesses on what current sets will be highly valued in the future.

[Madcat2000]

I wasn't sure if this should go here or the buy and sell forum, but put it here because it wasn't related to actual sales.

Post what you think will be a set that will become highly coveted in the years to come.

[Tom Bricks]

I would guess any of the Modular series and Medieval Market Village I think that the sets that are expensive now will just get more expensive in the future.

[legotrainfan]

I would guess any of the Modular series and Medieval Market Village I think that the sets that are expensive now will just get more expensive in the future.

Agreed. Plus the Imperial Flagship 10210. Actually all sets that are exclusives become gems as soon as they're discontinued.

Edited March 22, 2010 by legotrainfan

[escortmad79]

Modular Series, bigger Star Wars sets & maybe Harry Potter (but not for a good while)

Edited March 22, 2010 by escortmad79

[Shawn]

Modular Series, bigger Star Wars sets & maybe Harry Potter (but not for a good while)

I would bet the death star 10188 and all of the the modulars. I also think that the 10198 tantive IV will be popular. It is a really nice set. I also think that the new set from Toys R Us 7754 Home one will be popular. That is just my two cents.

[Madcat2000]

I was thinking the Toy Story army men would be wanted greatly by anyone who missed getting the normal sets and wants to do military mocs.

[Luke McAwesome]

Definitely 1019* Emerald Night. Thepure beauty of this train will most likely make it worth a bit more than original tag price in the future, at some point. And to agree with Tom Bricks, that MMV will probably worth a lot as well.

* - I can't remember the last digit...

Edited March 22, 2010 by Striker

[einsteinonthebeach]

Starwars: 8038 Battle of Endor. Unless we see another set with Ewoks in the next few years, this set should skyrocket in price once it's discontinued.

Castle: 10193 Market Village. Unique figures, cows!

Toy Story: Army Men on Patrol, for reasons already stated.

City: City Corner. The classic look and great bus design will probably increase the value of this set.

Creator: Apple Tree House. Only set with dark blue roof, the value will increase!

Space Police: The upcoming Lunar Limo, if only for the figure "Brick (Pimp) Daddy"

Power Miners: I don't think any current set will truly skyrocket in price.

Exclusives: They'll all go up in price (except perhaps the Architecture series)

[Destroydacre]

I would bet the death star 10188 and all of the the modulars. I also think that the 10198 tantive IV will be popular. It is a really nice set. I also think that the new set from Toys R Us 7754 Home one will be popular. That is just my two cents.

I think the Home One set is going to turn out just like the Cloud City set did. Not particularly popular, overpriced compared to piece count, but with amazing figs and many will waste away on the shelves. Then in 5 years everyone will wish they had bought one, and it will sell for $300+ MISB just like Cloud City does now.

To expand on what others have said, I think that any Star Wars set is a safe bet to rise in price in the future regardless of size. Take a look at the 2007 sets for instance. Many of those MISB sell for 200% or more of RRP.

[drdavewatford]

I think the Home One set is going to turn out just like the Cloud City set did. Not particularly popular, overpriced compared to piece count, but with amazing figs and many will waste away on the shelves. Then in 5 years everyone will wish they had bought one, and it will sell for $300+ MISB just like Cloud City does now.

To expand on what others have said, I think that any Star Wars set is a safe bet to rise in price in the future regardless of size. Take a look at the 2007 sets for instance. Many of those MISB sell for 200% or more of RRP.

Some excellent points. It certainly seems as if many of the vintage sets which attract the highest prices now are those which didn't sell particularly well when they were released and are therefore rarer.

Also, time will tell whether the current obsession with minifigs will be truly enduring or turn out to be something of a fad.... If the interest is enduring, the sets with lots of figs will obviously remain popular. For all reasons, 10188 Death Star is a dead-cert future classic in my book - fantastic huge set, loads of figures, and totally iconic. I've never enjoyed building a set more as an AFOL. I can't see the Endor set losing anybody money either, and because Home 1 is I think less popular, it'll surely hold its value due to the unique figs and the rarity.

Related to this is how enduring the 'cult of Star Wars' will be, both with respect to Lego and also in general. There's been a sporadic flow of prequels, video games, merchandise, animated series etc. etc. since 1977 which have 'fanned the flames', but I suspect it won't go on for ever. I suspect it's now too entrenched in popular culture to lose its popularity this generation, but in a few decades time, who knows wether our lovingly-collected memorabilia will have retained its value ? While Star Wars remains popular, however, it's hard to see boxed LEGO Star Wars sets, particularly MISB, ever being worth less than their original RRP, and in many cases they will be a guaranteed money maker for anyone with the cash and foresight to buy up sets and stockpile them for the future.

Dr. D.

[paul_delahaye]

I always regret not picking one of these up with 10% discount at Legoland, now I want one for my collection, they are selling on fleabay for nearly twice the price!

And I'm sitting on a MISB 10152 Maserk Sealand (2005 edition) ;-)

Fingers crossed!

Here is another I wish I picked up, I think these will be worth their weight in money!

Edited March 23, 2010 by paul_delahaye

[Big Cam]

I was thinking the Toy Story army men would be wanted greatly by anyone who missed getting the normal sets and wants to do military mocs.

I agree, even thought they are more than abundant right now. In teo years they'll have doubled in price, if not tripled, mark my words.

That is unless LEGO makes another set with Green Men

[prateek]

That is unless LEGO makes another set with Green Men

Haha! That could just ruin someone's life if they're saving MISB Army men

[Rufus]

Also, time will tell whether the current obsession with minifigs will be truly enduring or turn out to be something of a fad.... If the interest is enduring, the sets with lots of figs will obviously remain popular. For all reasons, 10188 Death Star is a dead-cert future classic in my book - fantastic huge set, loads of figures, and totally iconic. I've never enjoyed building a set more as an AFOL. I can't see the Endor set losing anybody money either, and because Home 1 is I think less popular, it'll surely hold its value due to the unique figs and the rarity.

This is an interesting thread. I agree with Dr Dave that - at least as far as Star Wars is concerned - it's the sets with rarer minifigs that seem to be snapped up for a markedly inflated price.

As to how long they'll hold their value - well I guess that depends on how long this current generation of AFOLs continues to collect Lego, and whether subsequent generations will follow the same trend. We are the first 'nostalgia generation' - adults with a reasonable amount of wealth able to indulge our childhood passions unrestrained by our parents' financial considerations - but it remains to be seen whether the current cohort of KFOLs will revive their hobby in adulthood. And if they do, will they like the same things we do? Perhaps all those Clone Wars sets (or Bionicle ) will rocket in value.

Personally, I think MISB Lego is a dubious investment - I doubt you'd make much more than if you invest the cash wisely, and you have to store all those boxes. But, if you decide to invest in Lego, then I'd go for the exclusive sets like MMV or Emerald Night, and like Dave says, the Death Star or Home One.

[gunm]

I do hope people are buying sets with the intent to build and enjoy them, and not to sit on in hopes of selling later at a profit. Of course, you can do whatever you want with your money, but IMO, these are ultimately toys that are meant to be played or displayed!

[Piranha]

I would say all the Modulars and some Star Wars, esp the 10th anniversary sets and sets that include figs only made-in that set.

MM too

I picked those because of the high part to low price ration and irresistible attraction

[k_peek_2000]

Definitely the Modulars, I am going to pick up a GG, but I don't know weather to store it or build it, it's such a pretty set but I know I could make SUCH good money off it.

[Big Cam]

Haha! That could just ruin someone's life if they're saving MISB Army men

I currently am sitting on 5 boxes stored in my work filing cabinet. With 4 more at home, but those are intended for my personal collection.

Also I think the Home One set will be worth money in a year or two.

[Tyrant]

I currently am sitting on 5 boxes stored in my work filing cabinet. With 4 more at home, but those are intended for my personal collection.

Also I think the Home One set will be worth money in a year or two.

I agree that Home One has potential. When I came out of my dark age I noticed that the sets that had high value on the secondary market were ones that I had noticed just sitting on the shelves and eventually clearanced. I wasn't buying any sets but I was still looking at them occasionally, so I took notice of what was selling and what wasn't (locally at least). Unless those figures wind up in a magnet set (and maybe still even if they do) I think this set follows the trend of sitting around without many buying it (I assume that's why it's on sale half the time) so once demandd does finally kick in, a lot of people won't have them. That seems to be the recipe for outrageous prices.

[bamaker]

I'll echo what everybody else is saying. With a few exceptions, most of the exclusives, set #10xxx, will see an increase in value, doubling or tripling the retail price shortly after being retired. The real guessing game comes with the regular releases. Looking only at sets out right now I'd guess the 10 most likely to see a significant rise in value will be:

6253 Shipwreck Hideout (2009) -- female pirate

7195 Ambush in Cairo (2009) -- great minifig selection, esp. Marion Ravenwood

7199 Temple of Doom (2009) -- popular film + popular scene + all exclusive minifigs (except Short Round)

7593 Buzz's Spaceship (2010) -- only set with Zurg minifig

7594 Woody's Roundup (2010) -- standard Jessie minifig, only set with Stinky Pete

7595 Army Men on Patrol (2010) -- WWII MOCs

7637 Farm (2009) -- black & white cows

7749 Echo Base (2009) -- only set with Tauntaun

7754 Home One (2009) -- only set with Ackbar, Gen. Madine, Gen. Lando, Mon Mothma

8083 Battle of Endor (2009) -- tons of minifigs, esp. ewoks

A lot of these are sets from licenses that have a proven track record. Indiana Jones is a little iffy, but as a bankable product Star Wars & Toy Story have been going strong for nearly a decade now, selling films, books, toys, clothing, bedding, etc. I don't see any reason for demand for their LEGO sets to wane in the next few years.

[gunm]

I agree w/MMV, Emerald Night, Battle for Endor, all the modulars, and the Imperial Flagship will all be sought after well after they are discontinued. Since Pirates is going away for awhile, I'm inclined to say those will be in the "wish I had gotten/obtained more" category as well. I already picked up a Brickbeard's Bounty and some Cannon Battles to make sure I have something of Pirates before it goes away, and I'll be looking at getting a Soldier's Fort in the next couple months as well.

I'm already wondering if PoP will be a big seller thanks to the new bricks/colors. I don't think the movie is going to do too well, so I think this might be a case where the interest in the Lego sets will easily far outlast the IP on which it is based.

[FilmGirl27]

The Star Wars Echo Base and Battle of Endor, Medieval Market Village, and Cafe Corner.

[ziljin]

Maybe Battle of Alamut for the three persian warriors.

[CMP]

Imperial Flagship.