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Posted (edited)

So after looking at all the info we have for the upcoming wave, I believe more than ever in my "second wave split" theory. I think Lego definitely split their second Hobbit wave into two so they could accommodate the film split. First off at least a few sets from TABA seem to be based on the DoS movie. The Erebor set with Smaug sounds like the end of DoS scene for scene. The Lake-town add on set also seems like it might be based on DoS, but I can't say without more info. I can only assume it's based on DoS though since Smaug won't be in it and there shouldn't be any other action in Lake-town besides that. Possibly it is covering the orcs fighting Legolas and Tauriel? The sets are also being released in October which would of been a few months after TABA was originally going to be released (you figure the Lego sets usually get released a few weeks to a month early). More importantly though, there don't seem to be hardly any set price points over lapping. If you combine wave two and three based on the info we have, it's like every set is intentionally a different price. DoS sets in red, TABA in green:

Witch King/Galadrial/Elrond Set - $12.99

Dol Guldur Ambush - $19.99

Mirkwood Elf Army - $29.99

Lake-town Add On - $29.99-39.99(?)

Lake-town Chase - $49.99

Bo5A set - $59.99

Dol Guldur Battle - $69.99

Smaug at Erebor - $129.99

The ONLY possible over lap is the $30 set. I am guessing this could be an extra set Lego had to make later on to fill out a wave so there weren't only three sets released in it. The second Hobbit wave was more the mid-range sets but missed the lowest and highest priced ones, while the third wave seems to cover both of those. All of this seems like a little too much of a coincidence for me. I mean the first and second Hobbit waves had material STRICTLY from the corresponding films (or stuff made up by Lego based on the films). Why change now? And why change the December release date? And most importantly, why do both waves miss some major price points but when combined they form a nice, rounded wave?

This gives me hope we will still see a final LotR wave next year. If we do, hopefully it will have a $20 set, a $30 Gondor army builder, a $40-50 (Balrog?), and a $60-70 Osgiliath or Minas Tirith wall.

Edited by Deathleech
Posted

It did seem odd that LOTR missed the £20 set and the hobbit missed a £12 set. Lets just hope we will see more LOTR, I guess next up is finding out what the fig that comes with the game will be

Posted

I think tauriel will be in the Bo5a set. I have this feeling her character will be killed in TABA, in attempt to say filli, killi, and thorin.

Hope she has a different outfit and fresh facial prints, at least, if we're going to get a repeat character.

Posted

I think tauriel will be in the Bo5a set. I have this feeling her character will be killed in TABA, in attempt to say filli, killi, and thorin.

I kinda have that same feeling too :P

Posted

If Elrond is in the witchking set, I hope he looks like a pretty standard elf. By that I mean more polybag elrond, and not council elrond like we got last wave. I'd like to buy multiples and build a nice elf army

Posted

If Elrond is in the witchking set, I hope he looks like a pretty standard elf. By that I mean more polybag elrond, and not council elrond like we got last wave. I'd like to buy multiples and build a nice elf army

Well reports did say Elrond was like polybag gamestop version so that means he will be in similar armor to AUJ.

Posted

Well reports did say Elrond was like polybag gamestop version so that means he will be in similar armor to AUJ.

Clearly a prelim version - final will be in the red Armor from AUJ. Which is similar in pattern, just not in color to the Last Alliance Elves.

Posted

How are you sure the final will be the red armor worn in auj?

Most likely because he'll be wearing armor of some kind, (because of what everyone's said) and that was the armor that he wore previously. I think it'd be strange if he had new armor.

Posted

Great analysis Deathleech! I definitely think the same about the splitting of the waves, and remain confident that late-2014/early-2015 will see a third LOTR wave.

Posted

Great analysis Deathleech! I definitely think the same about the splitting of the waves, and remain confident that late-2014/early-2015 will see a third LOTR wave.

Thanks Albus. There are of course other indicators pointing to this too like the total lack of Gondor-themed stuff, but I was just mentioning the Hobbit ones in this thread. I am really hopeful we will see a third LotR wave next year after the Hobbit one is released. I think the only thing that might have/will alter Lego's schedule is really poor wave two LotR sales. I just hope they realize wave two wasn't a terribly strong wave and don't do something like that prematurely :cry_sad:

Posted

Saw this on this Banshee from Avatar by Reekardoo on the Sci-Fi forum, looks awesome and would make an ideal base for a low budget Fellbeast-set in my opinion:

thumb640x360.jpg

Posted

Saw this on this Banshee from Avatar by Reekardoo on the Sci-Fi forum, looks awesome and would make an ideal base for a low budget Fellbeast-set in my opinion:

thumb640x360.jpg

For that you have to go to the LOTR thread :I

Posted (edited)

Oops, sorry for that...

Anyway my guess on the exclusive minifigure that comes with the game is Bilbo in his robe when Dwalin knocks on the door or this:

2isxvlt.png

Edited by Cammo
Posted

Oops, sorry for that...

Anyway my guess on the exclusive minifigure that comes with the game is Bilbo in his robe when Dwalin knocks on the door or this:

2isxvlt.png

It's ok, i was also thinking about this figure!

Posted

1.White Council Assault

Galadriel, Elrond, Witch-king

Help the White Council climb the broken steps to confront the dark magic of Angmar. Galadriel pulls out a platform that has fallen to reach him. Elrond leaps on the newly revealed ledge and engages in a duel of skill and might.

2. Lake-town Bell Tower

Bain, Alfrid, Guard, Villager

Bain has retrieved the black arrow needed to defeat Smaug. Now he must reach the top of the bell tower to load the arrow into the legendary Wind lance. The Master's servant Alfrid has stationed a guard to block Bain. Fortunately Bain has an idea: by swinging the golden bell the guard will fall safely in the water below.

3. The Battle of Five Armies

Dain, Iron Hill Dwarf, Villager, Mirkwood Elf Soldier, 2 orcs

The armies have assembled in the ruins of the city of Dale. The men of lake-town and elves of Mirkwood have agreed to ally with the dwarves to together defeat the large Orc host. While the orcs march in the valley, the Elf archers send arrows on top of them. Dain and the tough Iron Hill dwarves smash through a wall and attack the orcs to save the Villager. Help the free peoples defeat the armies of Sauron!

4. The Lonely Mountain

Thorin, Bilbo, Dwalin, Balin, Bombur, Kili, Fili, Bolg, Orc, Smaug

Thorin has finally reclaimed the halls of Erebor and is ready to be king. First he must stop the great dragon Smaug to recover the glowing Arkenstone. Help Bilbo and the dwarves start the forge fires to fight Smaug. Kili and Fili have returned to defend Thorin from the ruthless Bolg. Together they will fight in the throne room of their fathers. Explore the dwarf halls to find the hidden treasure left by Smaug.

*speculative of course but based on what we know and how Lego operates*

Posted

1.White Council Assault

Galadriel, Elrond, Witch-king

Help the White Council climb the broken steps to confront the dark magic of Angmar. Galadriel pulls out a platform that has fallen to reach him. Elrond leaps on the newly revealed ledge and engages in a duel of skill and might.

2. Lake-town Bell Tower

Bain, Alfrid, Guard, Villager

Bain has retrieved the black arrow needed to defeat Smaug. Now he must reach the top of the bell tower to load the arrow into the legendary Wind lance. The Master's servant Alfrid has stationed a guard to block Bain. Fortunately Bain has an idea: by swinging the golden bell the guard will fall safely in the water below.

3. The Battle of Five Armies

Dain, Iron Hill Dwarf, Villager, Mirkwood Elf Soldier, 2 orcs

The armies have assembled in the ruins of the city of Dale. The men of lake-town and elves of Mirkwood have agreed to ally with the dwarves to together defeat the large Orc host. While the orcs march in the valley, the Elf archers send arrows on top of them. Dain and the tough Iron Hill dwarves smash through a wall and attack the orcs to save the Villager. Help the free peoples defeat the armies of Sauron!

4. The Lonely Mountain

Thorin, Bilbo, Dwalin, Balin, Bombur, Kili, Fili, Bolg, Orc, Smaug

Thorin has finally reclaimed the halls of Erebor and is ready to be king. First he must stop the great dragon Smaug to recover the glowing Arkenstone. Help Bilbo and the dwarves start the forge fires to fight Smaug. Kili and Fili have returned to defend Thorin from the ruthless Bolg. Together they will fight in the throne room of their fathers. Explore the dwarf halls to find the hidden treasure left by Smaug.

*speculative of course but based on what we know and how Lego operates*

How do Bolg and Smaug get at the same time in Erebor?

Posted (edited)

Based on Lego past actions and marketing. Only 4 possible TABA sets. We have enough DoS from wave 1 preview and wave 2. Erebor or lonely mountain needs to cover more than just end of DoS.

Bolg could appear in BoFA set but Lego usually uses expensive sets for molds like Azog in Dol Guldur Battle. We do not know how PJ will change the location of battle anyway. Most of it occurs in Dale but maybe some could happen in Erebor while Thorin is held up to avoid the lake men and Mirkwood elves from taking some treasure.

Also other than Smaug no other villains would appear, I haven't seen that happen much in Lego.

It is all conjecture, guesswork but based on probability and established patterns/behavior.

Edited by Mahtion
Posted

I agree we have seen a lot of DoS sets with the ones from the first wave, I would like know what figs they will come up with for erebor as the options dont seem great

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